Tag Archives: RBI

Indian debt market has witnessed a better inflow!

Indian debt market has witnessed a better inflow with foreign institutional investors pumping in a record Rs 1, 12,469 crore ($18.6 billion) in the debt market till date in 2014.

With RBI governor Raghuram Rajan’s main focus now on containing inflation, bond dealers do not see any immediate cut in key policy rates which could have directly brought down the benchmark yield on the 10-year government securities from the current level of about 8.50%.

Bond market players expect that given strong demand for gilts form FIIs, the government may now increase the $25-billion limit and bring down the limit for corporate bonds. If that happens as more FIIs rush to buy gilts, prices will rise and yields will soften

Market Outlook

The Indian rupee appreciated over 6% in the beginning of 2014 due to huge foreign investment in the country’s debt and equity market. This rally was led on the hopes of a strong and stable government to revive the Indian economy. However the trend for the INR has reversed in last 2 months. The risk factors for the Indian rupee include high inflation, Middle East crisis, low percentage of forex reserves/external debt, and Fed tapering.

The foreign investors have high expectations from the ruling government. If these expectations are not met, then the Indian rupee is likely to depreciate further. Talk of volatility in the currency market and issues surrounding capital flows are back. The Indian rupee depreciated over 3% against the US dollar between 2 July and 6 August.

Last year, Indian markets witnessed high volatility after the Fed indicated for the first time that it will reduce the quantum of asset purchase, popularly referred to as tapering. Foreign investors sold Indian assets (equity and debt) worth over $12.5 billion in three months to August. Experts are of the view that markets may be subjected to volatility as the US central bank ends its asset purchase programme, but it will not be at the same scale as witnessed last year.

Indian rupee has witnessed some volatility and inflows from foreign investors in the equity markets have slowed, while the debt market has seen net selling in the current month. It is always difficult to prejudge the extent and timing of the way policy decisions will affect global financial markets and to what extent Indian markets will be affected.

However, irrespective of the way things pan out in the global financial markets, investors in India will draw comfort from the fact that compared to last year, fundamentals have improved and the outlook on Indian markets is positive.

Read detail report here:- http://www.rrfinance.com/reserch/pdf/other-pdf/Debt_Fortnightly.pdf

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Filed under Commodity News, Currency Update, Debt News, Finance, World News

Indian rupee rallied to an eight-month high!

The Indian rupee rallied to en eight-month high, boosted by continued foreign fund inflows into domestic shares, but suspected dollar purchases by the central bank prevented the currency from gaining much further. The RBI has long been expected to start buying dollars when the rupee strengthens to add to foreign exchange reserves of $297.29 billion-the highest since late December 2011. The central bank’s Dollar purchases would reflect the strength of a rupee rally. The RBI had to regularly buy the domestic currency just about half a year ago to keep it from hitting record lows.INR CurrencyToday’s Headlines

1) India’s Rupee Climbs to Eight-Month High on Election Optimism
2) Aussie Rises to 4-Month High; Franc Falls
3) Pound Advances against Euro as Weale Says Rates Should Increase
4) Gold Trades above Five-Week Low as Ukraine, Weighed

Read detail analysis report: – http://www.rrfinance.com/reserch/MorningBell/Cr_MorningBell.pdf

Related article:http://www.financialexpress.com/news/indian-central-bank-starts-buying-us-dollars-halts-indian-rupee-rally/1236032

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Filed under Currency Update, Debt News, Finance

The rupee fell to a record low on Tuesday!

See on Scoop.itShare Brokers in India

The rupee fell to a record low on Tuesday, raising prospects for fresh measures to bolster a currency which has tumbled more than 12 percent since the start of May, but later pared its losses after the appointment of a new reform-oriented central bank governor. INR hits life low of 61.80; cbank steps in to sell dlrs Raghuram Rajan’s appointment as RBI chief also cheers mkt.

RR Financial Consultants‘s insight:

Today’s Headlines

1) Dollar Advances Versus Yen Amid Fed Outlook; Aussie Jumps
2) Mexico Leader Said to Seek Changes to Break Oil Monopoly
3) Bernanke Seeking Animal Spirits Channels Yellen Spouse Akerlof
4) Americans With Best Credit in Decades Drive U.S. Economy
5) Korean Won Falls as Importers Seen Buying Dollars; Bonds Advance
6) Brazil Real Falls to Four-Year Low, Spurring Inflation Concern

For detail analysis report please visit: – http://www.rrfinance.com/reserch/MorningBell/Cr_MorningBell.pdf

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